Everything about Voting System Criterion totally explained
A
voting system allows voters to choose between options, often in an
election where candidates are selected for
public office. Voting can be also used to award prizes, to select between different plans of action, or by a
computer program to find a solution to a problem. Voting can be contrasted with
consensus decision making.
A voting system contains rules for valid voting, and how votes are aggregated to yield a final result. The study of formally defined voting systems is called
voting theory, a subfield of
political science,
economics or
mathematics. Voting theory began formally in the 18th century and many proposals for voting systems have been made.
Voting systems are either
majority rule,
proportional representation or
plurality voting. Given the simplicity of majority rule, those who are unfamiliar with voting theory are often surprised that another voting system exists, or that "majority rule" systems can produce results not supported by a majority. If every election had only two choices, the winner would be determined using majority rule alone. However, when there are three or more options, there may not be a single option that's preferred by a majority. Different voting systems may give very different results, particularly in cases where there's no clear majority preference.
Aspects of voting systems
A voting system specifies the form of the
ballot, the set of allowable votes, and the
tallying method, an
algorithm for determining the outcome. This outcome may be a single winner, or may involve multiple winners such as in the election of a
legislative body. The voting system may also specify how voting power is distributed among the voters, and how voters are divided into subgroups (
constituencies) whose votes are counted independently.
The real-world implementation of an election is generally
not considered part of the voting system. For example, though a voting system specifies the ballot abstractly, it doesn't specify whether the actual physical ballot takes the form of a piece of paper, a punch card, or a
computer display. A voting system also doesn't specify whether or how votes are kept secret, how to verify that votes are counted accurately, or who is
allowed to vote. These are aspects of the broader topic of elections and
election systems.
The ballot
Different voting systems have different forms for allowing the individual to express his or her vote. In
ranked ballot or "preference" voting systems, such as
Instant-runoff voting, the
Borda count, or a
Condorcet method, voters order the list of options from most to least preferred. In
range voting, voters rate each option separately on a scale. In
plurality voting (also known as "first-past-the-post"), voters select only one option, while in
approval voting, they can select as many as they want. In voting systems that allow "plumping", like
cumulative voting, voters may vote for the same candidate multiple times.
Some voting systems include additional choices on the ballot, such as
write-in candidates, a
none of the above option, or a no confidence in that candidate option.
Weight of votes
Many elections are held to the ideal of "one person, one vote," meaning that every voter's votes should be counted with equal weight. This isn't true of all elections, however.
Corporate elections, for instance, usually weight votes according to the amount of stock each voter holds in the company, changing the mechanism to "one share, one vote". Votes can also be weighted unequally for other reasons, such as increasing the voting weight of higher-ranked members of an organization.
Voting weight isn't the same thing as
voting power. In situations where certain groups of voters will all cast the same vote (for example,
political parties in a
parliament), voting power measures the ability of a group to change the outcome of a vote. Groups may form
coalitions in order to maximize their voting power.
Status quo
Some voting systems are weighted in themselves, for example if a
supermajority is required to change the status quo. An extreme case of this is
unanimous consent, where changing the status quo requires the support of every voting member. If the decision is whether to accept a new member into an organization, failure of this procedure to admit the new member is called
blackballing.
A different mechanism that favors the status quo is the requirement for a
quorum, which ensures that the status quo remains if not enough voters participate in the vote. Quorum requirements often depend only on the total number of votes rather than the number of actual votes cast for the winning option; however, this can sometimes encourage dissenting voters to refrain from voting entirely in order to prevent a quorum.
Constituencies
Often the purpose of an election is to choose a
legislative body made of multiple winners. This can be done by running a single election and choosing the winners from the same pool of votes, or by dividing up the voters into constituencies that have different options and elect different winners.
Some countries, like
Israel, fill their entire parliament using a single multiple-winner district (
constituency) or
multiple member electorate, while others, like the
Republic of Ireland or
Belgium, break up their national elections into smaller multiple-winner districts, and yet others, like the
United States or the
United Kingdom, hold only single-winner elections. Some systems, like the
Additional member system, embed smaller districts within larger ones.
The way in which constituencies are created and assigned seats can dramatically affect the results.
Apportionment is the process by which states, regions, or larger districts are awarded seats, usually according to population changes as a result of a
census.
Redistricting is the process by which the borders of constituencies are redrawn once apportioned. Both procedures can become highly politically contentious due to the possibility of both
malapportionment, where there are unequal representative to population ratios across districts, and
gerrymandering, where electoral districts are manipulated for political gain.
A particularly ill case was the English
Rotten Boroughs, abandoned towns who still were represented in parliament.
Single-winner methods
Single-winner systems can be classified based on their ballot type.
One vote systems are those in which a voter picks one choice at a time. In
ranked voting systems, each voter ranks the candidates in order of preference. In
rated voting systems, voters give a score to each candidate.
Single or sequential vote methods
The most prevalent single-winner voting method, by far, is
plurality (also called "first-past-the-post", "relative majority", or "winner-take-all"), in which each voter votes for one choice, and the choice that receives the most votes wins, even if it receives less than a majority of votes.
Runoff methods hold multiple rounds of plurality voting to ensure that the winner is elected by a majority.
Top-two runoff voting, the second most common method used in elections, holds a runoff election between the top two options if there's no majority. In
elimination runoff elections, the weakest candidate is eliminated until there's a majority. In an
exhaustive runoff election, no candidates are eliminated, so voting is simply repeated until there's a majority.
A nonpartisan
primary election is also used as a two round runoff process. The two candidates with the most votes in the open primary pass to the general election. The difference between a runoff and an open primary is that a winner is never chosen in the primary, while the first round of a runoff can result in a winner if one candidate has over 50% of the vote.
Random ballot is a method in which each voter votes for one option, and a single ballot is selected at random to determine the winner. This is mostly used as a tiebreaker for other methods.
Ranked voting methods
Also known as
preferential voting methods, these methods allow each voter to rank the candidates in order of preference. Often it isn't necessary to rank all the candidates: unranked candidates are usually considered to be tied for last place. Some ranked ballot methods also allow voters to give multiple candidates the same ranking.
The most common ranked voting method is
instant-runoff voting (IRV), also known as the "alternative vote" or simply "preferential voting", which uses voters' preferences to simulate an elimination runoff election without multiple voting events. As the votes are tallied, the option with the fewest first-choice votes is eliminated. In successive rounds of counting, the next preferred choice still available from each eliminated ballot is transferred to candidates not yet eliminated. The least preferred option is eliminated in each round of counting until there's a majority winner, with all ballots being considered in every round of counting.
The
Borda count is a simple ranked voting method in which the options receive points based on their position on each ballot. A class of similar methods is called
positional voting systems.
Other ranked methods include
Coombs' method,
Supplementary voting,
Bucklin voting, and
Condorcet method.
Condorcet methods, or
pairwise methods, are a class of ranked voting methods that meet the
Condorcet criterion. These methods compare every option pairwise with every other option, one at a time, and an option that
defeats every other option is the winner. An option defeats another option if a majority of voters rank it higher on their ballot than the other option.
These methods are often referred to collectively as
Condorcet methods because the Condorcet criterion ensures that they all give the same result in most elections, where there exists a
Condorcet winner. The differences between Condorcet methods occur in situations where no option is undefeated, implying that there exists a cycle of options that defeat one another, called a
Condorcet paradox or
Smith set. Considering a generic Condorcet method to be an abstract method that doesn't resolve these cycles, specific versions of Condorcet that select winners even when no Condorcet winner exists are called
Condorcet completion methods.
A simple version of Condorcet is
Minimax: if no option is undefeated, the option that's defeated by the fewest votes in its worst defeat wins. Another simple method is
Copeland's method, in which the winner is the option that wins the most pairwise contests, as in many
round-robin tournaments. The
Schulze method (also known as "
Schwartz sequential dropping", "
cloneproof Schwartz sequential dropping" or the "
beatpath method") and
Ranked Pairs are two recently designed Condorcet methods that satisfy a large number of
voting system criteria.
The
Kemeny-Young method is a Condorcet method that fully ranks all the candidates from most popular to least popular.
Rated voting methods
Rated ballots allow even more flexibility than ranked ballots, but few methods are designed to use them. Each voter gives a score to each option; the allowable scores could be numeric (for example, from 0 to 100) or could be "
grades" like A/B/C/D/F.
In
range voting, voters give numeric ratings to each option, and the option with the highest total score wins.
Approval voting where voters may vote for as many candidates as they like can be seen as an instance of range voting where the allowable ratings are 0 and 1.
Rated ballots can be used for ranked voting methods, as long as the ranked method allows tied rankings. Some ranked methods assume that all the rankings on a ballot are distinct, but many voters would be likely to give multiple candidates the same rating on a rated ballot.
Multiple-winner methods
A vote with multiple winners, such as the election of a legislature, has different practical effects than a single-winner vote. Often, participants in a multiple winner election are more concerned with the overall composition of the legislature than exactly which candidates get elected. For this reason, many multiple-winner systems aim for
proportional representation, which means that if a given party (or any other political grouping) gets X% of the vote, it should also get approximately X% of the seats in the legislature. Not all multiple-winner voting systems are proportional.
Non-proportional and semi-proportional methods
Many multiple-winner voting methods are simple extensions of single-winner methods, without an explicit goal of producing a proportional result.
Bloc voting, or
plurality-at-large, has each voter vote for
N options and selects the top
N as the winners. Because of its propensity for
landslide victories won by a single winning slate of candidates, bloc voting is non-proportional. Two similar plurality-based methods with multiple winners are the
Single Non-Transferable Vote or SNTV method, where the voter votes for only one option, and
cumulative voting, described above. Unlike bloc voting, elections using the Single Nontransferable Vote or cumulative voting may achieve proportionality if voters use
tactical voting or
strategic nomination.
Because they encourage proportional results without guaranteeing them, the Single Nontransferable Vote and cumulative voting methods are classified as
semi-proportional. Other methods that can be seen as semi-proportional are
mixed methods, which combine the results of a plurality election and a party-list election (described below).
Parallel voting is an example of a mixed method because it's only proportional for a subset of the winners.
Proportional methods
Truly proportional methods make some guarantee of proportionality by making each winning option represent approximately the same number of voters. This number is called a
quota. For example, if the quota is 1000 voters, then each elected candidate reflects the opinions of 1000 voters, within a margin of error. This can be measured using the
Gallagher Index.
Most proportional systems in use are based on
party-list proportional representation, in which voters vote for parties instead of for individual candidates. For each quota of votes a party receives, one of their candidates wins a seat on the legislature. The methods differ in how the quota is determined or, equivalently, how the proportions of votes are rounded off to match the number of seats.
The methods of seat allocation can be grouped overall into
highest averages methods and
largest remainder methods. Largest remainder methods set a particular quota based on the number of voters, while highest averages methods, such as the
Sainte-Laguë method and the
d'Hondt method, determine the quota indirectly by dividing the number of votes the parties receive by a sequence of numbers.
Independently of the method used to assign seats, party-list systems can be
open list or
closed list. In an
open list system, voters decide which candidates within a party win the seats. In a
closed list system, the seats are assigned to candidates in a fixed order that the party chooses. The
Mixed Member Proportional system is a mixed method that only uses a party list for a subset of the winners, filling other seats with the winners of regional elections, thus having features of open list and closed list systems.
In contrast to party-list systems, the
Single Transferable Vote is a proportional representation system in which voters rank individual candidates in order of preference. Unlike party-list systems, STV doesn't depend on the candidates being grouped into political parties. Votes are transferred between candidates in a manner similar to
instant runoff voting, but in addition to transferring votes from candidates who are eliminated, excess votes are also transferred from candidates who already have a quota.
Semi-proportional methods
A simpler method called
Cumulative voting (CV) is a semi-proportional voting system in which each voter has
n votes, where
n is the number of seats to be elected. Voters can distribute portions of their vote between a set of candidates, fully upon one candidate, or a mixture. It is considered a
proportional system in allowing a united coalition representing a
m/(n+1) fraction of the voters to be guaranteed to elect
m seats of an
n-seat election. For example in a 3-seat election, 3/4 of the voters (if united on 3 candidates) can guarantee control over all three seats. (In contrast,
plurality at large, which allows a united coalition (majority) (50%+1) to control all the seats.)
Cumulative voting is a common way of holding elections in which the voters have unequal voting power, such as in corporate governance under the "one share, one vote" rule. Cumulative voting is also used as a multiple-winner method, such as in elections for a corporate board.
Cumulative voting isn't fully proportional because it suffers from the same
spoiler effect of
plurality without a run-off process. A group of like-minded voters divided among "too many" candidates may fail to elect any winners, or elect fewer than they
deserve by their size. The level of proportionality depends on how well-coordinated the voters are.
Limited voting is a multi-winner system that gives voters fewer votes than the number of seats to be decided. The simplest and most common form of limited voting is
Single Non-Transferable Vote (SNTV). It can be considered a special variation of cumulative voting where a full vote can't be divided among more than one candidate. It depends on a statistical distributions of voters to smooth out preferences that CV can do by individual voters.
For example, in a 4-seat election a candidate needs 20% to guarantee election. A coalition of 40% can guarantee 2-seats in CV by perfectly splitting their votes as individuals between 2 candidates. In comparison, SNTV tends towards collectively dividing 20% between each candidate by assuming every coalition voter flipped a coin to decide which candidate to support with their single vote. This limitation simplifies voting and counting, at the cost of more uncertainty of results.
Criteria in evaluating single winner voting systems
In the real world, attitudes toward voting systems are highly influenced by the systems' impact on groups that one supports or opposes. This can make the objective comparison of voting systems difficult. In order to compare systems fairly and independently of political ideologies, voting theorists use
voting system criteria, which define potentially desirable properties of voting systems mathematically.
It is impossible for one voting system to pass all criteria in common use. Economist
Kenneth Arrow proved
Arrow's impossibility theorem, which demonstrates that several desirable features of voting systems are mutually contradictory. For this reason, someone implementing a voting system has to decide which criteria are important for the election.
Using criteria to compare systems doesn't make the comparison completely objective. For example, it's relatively easy to devise a criterion that's met by one's preferred voting method, and by very few other methods. Doing this, one can then construct a biased argument for the criterion, instead of arguing directly for the method. No one can be the ultimate authority on which criteria should be considered, but the following are some criteria that are accepted and considered to be desirable by many voting theorists:
- Majority criterion — If there exists a majority that ranks (or rates) a single candidate higher than all other candidates, does that candidate always win?
- Monotonicity criterion — Is it impossible to cause a winning candidate to lose by ranking him higher, or to cause a losing candidate to win by ranking him lower?
- Consistency criterion — If the electorate is divided in two and a choice wins in both parts, does it always win overall?
- Participation criterion — Is it always better to vote honestly than to not vote? (This is grouped with the distinct but similar Consistency Criterion in the table below.)
- Condorcet criterion — If a candidate beats every other candidate in pairwise comparison, does that candidate always win?
- Condorcet loser criterion — If a candidate loses to every other candidate in pairwise comparison, does that candidate always lose?
- Independence of irrelevant alternatives — Is the outcome the same after adding or removing non-winning candidates?
- Independence of clone candidates — Is the outcome the same if candidates identical to existing candidates are added?
- Reversal symmetry — If individual preferences of each voter are inverted, does the original winner never win?
The following table shows which of the above criteria are met by several single-winner systems.
In addition to the above criteria, voting systems are judged using criteria that are not mathematically precise but are still important, such as simplicity, speed of vote-counting, the potential for fraud or disputed results, the opportunity for
tactical voting or
strategic nomination, and, for multiple-winner methods, the
degree of proportionality produced.
It is also possible to simulate large numbers of virtual elections on a computer and see how various voting systems compare in terms of voter satisfaction. Such simulations are sensitive to their assumptions, particularly with regards to voter strategy, but by varying the assumptions they can give repeatable measures that bracket the best and worst cases for a voting system. To date, the only such simulation to compare a wide variety of voting systems was run by a range-voting advocate and hasn't been peer-reviewed.
The
New Zealand Royal Commission on the Electoral System listed ten criteria for their evaluation of possible
new electoral systems for New Zealand. These included fairness between political parties, effective representation of minority or special interest groups, political integration, effective voter participation and legitimacy.
Bayesian regret is an objective numerical measure of quality of a voting system that's sensitive to subjective assumptions about the candidates and electorate. Its least contentious use is to give best-case and worst-case values for a given system.
History
Early democracy
Voting has been used as an essential feature of
democracy since the 6th century BC, when democracy was introduced by the
Athenian democracy. One of the earliest recorded elections in Athens was a
plurality vote that it was undesirable to "win": in the process called
ostracism, voters chose the citizen they most wanted to exile for ten years. Most elections in the early
history of democracy were held using plurality voting or some variant, but as an exception, the state of
Venice in the 13th century adopted the system we now know as
approval voting to elect their Great Council.
The Venetians' system for
electing the Doge was a particularly convoluted process, consisting of five rounds of drawing lots and five rounds of approval voting. By drawing lots, a body of 30 electors was chosen, which was further reduced to 9 electors by drawing lots again. The electoral college of 9 members elected 40 people by approval voting; those 40 were reduced to form a second electoral college of 12 members by drawing lots again. The second electoral college elected 25 people by approval voting, which were reduced to form a third electoral college of 9 members by drawing lots. The third electoral college elected 45 people, which were reduced to form a fourth electoral college of 11 by drawing lots. They in turn elected a final electoral body of 41 members, who ultimately elected the Doge. Despite its complexity, the system had certain desirable properties such as being hard to game and ensuring that the winner reflected the opinions of both majority and minority factions. This process was used with little modification from 1268 until the end of the
Republic of Venice in 1797, and was one of the factors contributing to the durability of the republic.
Foundations of voting theory
Voting theory became an object of academic study around the time of the
French Revolution.
While Condorcet and Borda are usually credited as the founders of voting theory, recent research has shown that the philosopher
Ramon Llull discovered both the Borda count and a pairwise method that satisfied the
Condorcet criterion in the 13th century. The manuscripts in which he described these methods had been lost to history until they were rediscovered in 2001.
Later in the 18th century, the related topic of
apportionment began to be studied. The impetus for research into fair apportionment methods came, in fact, from the
United States Constitution, which mandated that seats in the
United States House of Representatives had to be allocated among the states proportionally to their population, but didn't specify how to do so. A variety of methods were proposed by statesmen such as
Alexander Hamilton,
Thomas Jefferson, and
Daniel Webster. Some of the apportionment methods discovered in the
United States were rediscovered in
Europe in the 19th century, as seat allocation methods for the newly proposed system of
party-list proportional representation. The result is that many apportionment methods have two names: for instance,
Jefferson's method is the same as the
d'Hondt method, and
Webster's method is the
Sainte-Laguë method.
The
Single Transferable Vote system was devised by
Carl Andrae in
Denmark in 1855, and also in
England by
Thomas Hare in 1857. Their discoveries may or may not have been independent. STV elections were first held in Denmark in 1856, and in
Tasmania in 1896 after its use was promoted by
Andrew Inglis Clark. Party-list proportional representation was first implemented to elect European legislatures in the early 20th century, with
Belgium implementing it first in 1900. Since then, proportional and semi-proportional methods have come to be used in almost all democratic countries, with most exceptions being former
British colonies.
The single-winner revival
Perhaps influenced by the rapid development of multiple-winner voting methods, theorists began to publish new findings about single-winner methods in the late 19th century. This began around 1870, when
William Robert Ware proposed applying STV to single-winner elections, yielding
instant runoff voting. Soon, mathematicians began to revisit Condorcet's ideas and invent new methods for Condorcet completion.
Edward J. Nanson combined the newly described
instant runoff voting with the
Borda count to yield a new Condorcet method called
Nanson's method.
Charles Dodgson, better known as Lewis Carroll, published pamphlets on voting theory, focusing in particular on Condorcet voting. He introduced the use of
matrices to analyze Condorcet elections, though this, too, had already been done in some form in the then-lost manuscripts of
Ramon Llull. He also proposed the straightforward Condorcet method known as
Dodgson's method.
Ranked voting systems eventually gathered enough support to be adopted for use in government elections. In Australia, IRV was first adopted in 1893, and continues to be used along with STV today. In the
United States in the early 20th century, various municipalities began to use
Bucklin voting, but the results were not satisfying to voters. Bucklin is no longer used in any government elections, and has even been declared unconstitutional in
Minnesota.
Influence of game theory
After
John von Neumann and others developed the mathematical field of
game theory in the 1940s, new mathematical tools were available to analyze voting systems and strategic voting. This led to significant new results that changed the field of voting theory. and on political stability. A few scholars also studied what effects caused a nation to change for a particular voting system. One prominent current voting theorist is
Nicolaus Tideman, who formalized concepts such as
strategic nomination and the
spoiler effect in the
independence of clones criterion. Tideman also devised the
ranked pairs method, a
Condorcet method that isn't susceptible to
clones. Also,
Donald G. Saari has brought renewed interest to the
Borda count with the books he's published since 2001. Saari and uses geometric models of
positional voting systems to promote the Borda count.
The increased availability of computer processing has increased the practicality of using the
Kemeny-Young,
ranked pairs, and
Schulze methods that fully rank all the choices from most popular to least popular.
The advent of the Internet has increased the interest in voting systems. Unlike many other mathematical fields, voting theory is generally accessible enough to non-experts that new results can be discovered by amateurs, and frequently are. As such, many recent discoveries in voting theory come not from published papers, but from informal discussions among hobbyists on online forums and mailing lists.
The study of voting systems has influenced a new push for
electoral reform that's going on today, with proposals being made to replace plurality voting in governmental elections with other methods. Various municipalities in the
United States have begun to adopt
instant-runoff voting in the 2000s.
New Zealand adopted
Mixed Member Proportional for
Parliamentary elections in 1993 and
Single Transferable Vote for some local elections in 2004 (see
Electoral reform in New Zealand). The
Canadian province of
British Columbia will hold a
second referendum on adopting
STV in 2008. The Province of Ontario will hold a Referendum on
October 10,
2007, on whether to adopt a Mixed Member Proportional system. Moreover, on September 2007, the
United New Democratic Party of
South Korea started the world's first Mobile Voting System to use their presidential primary. An even wider range of voting systems is now seen in non-governmental organizations.
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